2018年12月15日 星期六

3 kinds of bias that shape your worldview

"Now, these sound like big, fancy, academic terms. But when I describe them, you're going to be like, 'Oh! I recognize that; I even know somebody that does that.'" Read online
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December 15, 2018

J. Marshall Shepherd: 3 kinds of bias that shape your worldview

12:21 minutes · Filmed Mar 2018 · Posted Dec 2018 · TEDxUGA

What shapes our perceptions (and misperceptions) about science? In an eye-opening talk, meteorologist J. Marshall Shepherd explains how confirmation bias, the Dunning-Kruger effect and cognitive dissonance impact what we think we know -- and shares ideas for how we can replace them with something much more powerful: knowledge.

Playlist of the week

The most popular TED Talks of 2018

What. A. Year. These 25 TED Talks helped us make better decisions, taught us some fascinating science, gave us some hope for humanity and showed us what it's like to climb 3,000 feet ... without a rope. Watch »

Total run time 5:10:01

This week's new TED Talks

The workplace is seen a meritocracy, where you can succeed by putting your head down and working hard. But take it from Wall Street veteran Carla Harris: that's a myth. The key to actually getting ahead? Get a sponsor: a person who will speak on your behalf in the top-level, closed-door meetings you're not invited to (yet). Learn how to identify and develop a productive sponsor relationship in this candid, powerful talk. Watch »

Humans are no longer valued for our creativity, says media theorist Douglas Rushkoff -- in a world dominated by digital technology, we're more and more just valued for our data. In a passionate talk, Rushkoff urges us to stop using tech to optimize people -- and start using it to build a future centered on human values of connection, creativity and respect. "Join 'Team Human.' Find the others," he says. "Together let's make the future we always wanted." Watch »

Here's an unusual and moving holiday story. When a parent is sent to prison, a collateral victim of their crimes are their own children, left without stability, support and that parent-child connection vital for any kid. In a heartfelt talk, Alan Crickmore shows how one charity is keeping families connected through the simple act of storytelling -- and inspiring parents to build better lives after serving their time. Watch »

How do you talk to someone who doesn't believe in climate change? In this warm, pragmatic talk, climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe suggests that the key to a real discussion is to connect over your shared values -- and prompt people to realize that they already care about a changing climate. "We can't give in to despair," she says. "We have to go out and look for the hope we need to inspire us to act -- and that hope begins with a conversation, today." Watch »

Read more on ideas.ted.com

What can we learn from people who succeed later in life? We tend to focus on prodigies and young stars. But what if we looked at the people at the opposite end of the timeline instead? Read »

When sleeping in public is an act of protest. In an annual event called Meet to Sleep, women come together to doze in public space, rejecting a culture of harassment and creating trust and shared safety. Read »

An eye-opening look at the dot-com bubble of 2000. Dot-coms of the late ’90s and early ’00s vowed to “change the world”, had crazy-high valuations, and were wildly unprofitable. What's their legacy now? Read »

TED’s year-end reading list. 78 enthusiastic recommendations for books that will help you rejoice, reflect and recharge, as suggested by TED speakers and TED-Ed educators. Read »

New podcast: The TED Interview

Daniel Kahneman wants you to doubt yourself. Here’s why.
What shapes happiness -- the experiences we have, or the stories we tell ourselves about them afterwards? When and how does our intuition reliably fail? And why is overconfidence the fatal flaw we should all watch out for? In this fascinating, far-ranging conversation, head of TED Chris Anderson digs into the questions that really matter with Danny Kahneman, Nobel laureate, godfather of behavioral economics, and one of the most influential psychologists alive. Subscribe for free on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen.

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